Published Monograph

  1. A changing climate for science (2017) Palgrave MacMillan.




Published Book Chapters

  1. Lewis, S. C, J. Karoly, A. D. King, S. E. Perkins and M. G. Donat (2017). Mechanisms explaining recent changes in Australia’s climate extremes. Climate Extremes: Patterns, Trends, and Mechanisms, American Geophysical Union.


Published Journal Articles

  1. Lewis, S. C., Kemp, L., & Kirkpatrick, S. E. P. (2019). Assessing Contributions of Major Emitters ’ Paris ‐ Era Decisions to Future Temperature Extremes.
  2. Lewis, S. C., Perkins-Kirkpatrick, S. E., & King, A. D. (2019). Approaches to attribution of extreme temperature and precipitation events using multi-model and single-member ensembles of general circulation models, Adv. Stat. Clim. Meteorol. Oceanogr., 5, 133–146
  3. Perkins-Kirkpatrick, S.E., King, A.D., Cougnon, E.A., Grose, M.R., Oliver, E.C.J., Holbrook, N.J., Lewis, S.C.,Poursaghar, F. (2019). The role of natural variability and anthropogenic climate change in the 2017/17 Tasman Sea marine heatwaves. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society.
  4. Dey, R., Lewis, S., Arblaster, J., & Abram, N. (2018). A Review of Past and Projected Changes in Australia’s Rainfall. Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change.
  5. Harrington, L. J., Lewis, S., Perkins-Kirkpatrick, S. E., King, A. D., & Otto, F. E. L. (2018). Embracing the complexity of extreme weather events when quantifying their likelihood of recurrence in a warming world. Environmental Research Letters, 0–18.
  6. Dey, R.,Lewis, S.C., Abram, N.J., and Arblaster, J.M. (2018). Investigating observed northwest Australian rainfall trends in CMIP5 detection and attribution experiments, International Journal of Climatology.
  7. Dittus, A. J.,Karoly, D.J., Donat, M.G., Lewis, S.C., and Alexander, L.V. (2018) Understanding the role of sea surface temperature-forcing for variability in global temperature and precipitation extremes. Weather Clim. Extrem., 21, 1–9, doi:10.1016/j.wace.2018.06.002.
  8. Wurtzel, J. B., Abram, N.J., Lewis, S.C., Bajo, P., Hellstrom, J.C., Troitzsch, U. and Heslop, D. (2018) Tropical Indo-Pacific hydroclimate response to North Atlantic forcing during the last deglaciation as recorded by a speleothem from Sumatra, Indonesia. Earth Planet. Sci. Lett., 492, 264–278, doi:10.1016/j.epsl.2018.04.001.
  9. King, A.D., Donat, M.G., Lewis, S.C., Henley, B.J., Mitchell, D.M., Stott, P.A., Fischer, E.M., and Karoly, D.J. (2018) Reduced heat exposure by limiting global warming to 1.5 °C, Nature Climate Change. 8, 549-551.
  10. King, A.D., Knutti, R., Uhe, P., Mitchell, D.M., , S.C., Arblaster, J.M., Freychet, N. (2018). On the linearity of local and regional temperature changes from 1.5°C to 2°C of global warming. Journal of Climate.
  11. Blake, S.,Lewis, S.C.,LeGrande, A.N. and Miller, R (2018). Assessing the impact of large volcanic eruptions of the last millennium (850–1850 CE) on Australian rainfall regimes. Climate of the Past. 14, 811-824,
  12. Lewis, S.C. (2018). Assessing the stationarity of Australian precipitation extremes in forced and unforced CMIP5 simulations. Journal of Climate. doi:
  13. Dittus, A.J.,Karoly, D.J., Donat, M.K., Lewis, S.C.,Alexander, L. (2018)Understanding the role of sea surface temperature-forcing for variability in global temperature and precipitation extremes, Weather and Climate Extremes, 21, 1-9.
  14. Lewis, S.C. and Mallela, J.A. (2018). A multifactor analysis of the record 2016 Great Barrier Reef bleaching [in “Explaining Extreme Events of 2016 from a Climate Perspective”] Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society.
  15. Lewis, S.C., King, A.D., and Mitchell, D. (2017). Australia’s unprecedented future temperature extremes under Paris limits to warming. Geophysical Research Letters. 10.1002/2017GL074612
  16. Goldie, J., Alexander, L., Lewis, S.C., Sherwood, S. and Bambrick, H. (2017). Changes in the relative fit of human heat stress indices to cardiovascular, respiratory, and renal hospitalizations across five Australian urban populations. International Journal of Biometeorology. DOI:10.1007/s00484-017-1451-9
  17. Smerdon, J.E. and others (2017). Comparing proxy and model estimates of hydroclimate variability and change of the Common Era. Climate of the Past.
  18. Lewis, S.C. (2017). Mitigating the risks of rapid event attribution in the gray literature. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society,
  19. Lewis, S.C. and A.D.King (2017) Evolution of mean, variance and extremes in 21st century temperatures, Weather and Climate Extremes, 15, 1-10,
  20. Lewis, S.C., A.D.King and S.E. Perkins-Kirkpatrick (2017). Defining a new normal for extremes in a warming world. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. DOI:
  21. Dittus, A., D. Karoly, S. Lewis, L. Alexander and M. Donat (2016). A multiregion model evaluation and attribution study of historical changes in the area affects by temperature and precipitation extremes. Journal of Climate. DOI:
  22. Hassol, S., S. Torok, S. Lewis and P. Lagunda (2016). (Un)Natural Disasters: Communicating Linkages Between Extreme Events and Climate Change. World Meteorological Organization Bulletin, 65(2).
  23. Gallant, A.E.J. and Lewis, S.C. (2016). Stochastic and anthropogenic influences on repeated record‐breaking temperature extremes in Australian spring of 2013 and 2014. Geophysical Research Letters. doi: 10.1002/2016GL067740.
  24. Lewis, S. C. (2016). Can public perceptions of Australian climate extremes be reconciled with the statistics of climate change? Weather and Climate Extremes, 1–10.
  25. Lewis, S.C. and LeGrande, A.N. (2015)  Stability of ENSO and its tropical Pacific teleconnections over the Last Millennium, Climate of the Past., 11, 1579-1613, doi:10.5194/cpd-11-1579-2015.
  26. Dittus, A.J., D.J. Karoly, S.C. Lewis and L.V. Alexander (2015) A multi-region assessment of observed changes in the areal extent of temperature and precipitation extremes, Journal of Climate, doi:
  27. King, A.D., van Oldenborgh, G.J., Karoly, D.J., Lewis, S.C. and Cullen, H. (2015) Attribution of the record high Central England temperature of 2014 to anthropogenic influences, Environmental Research Letters 10 (5), 054002,
  28. King, A.D., Donat, M.G., Fischer, E.M., Hawkins, E., Alexander, L.V., Karoly, D.J., Dittus, A.J., Lewis, S.C., and Perkins, S.E. (2015) The timing of anthropogenic emergence in simulated climate extremes, Environmental Research Letters 10(9), doi:
  29. Lewis, S..C and King, A.D. (2015) Dramatically increased rate of observed hot record‐breaking in recent Australian temperatures, Geophysical Research Lettersdoi: 10.1002/2015GL065793 
  30. Dittus, A.J., D.J. Karoly, S.C. Lewis and L.V. Alexander (2014) An investigation of the unexpected frost day increases in southern Australia, Australian Meteorological and Oceanographic Journal, 64, 261–271
  31. Lewis, S.C. , D.J. Karoly and M. Yu (2014) Quantitative estimates of anthropogenic contributions to extreme Australia- and state -wide monthly, seasonal and annual average temperatures, Australian Meteorological and Oceanographic Journal, 64 (3), 215-230.
  32. Lewis, S.C. and D.J. Karoly (2014) Assessment of forced responses of the Australian Community Climate and Earth System Simulator (ACCESS) version 1.3 in CMIP5 historical detection and attribution experiments, Australian Meteorological and Oceanographic Journal, 64, 87-101.
  33. Perkins, S.E., S.C. Lewis, A.D. King and L.V. Alexander, Increased risk in the frequency and intensity of Australian heatwaves during the 2012-2013 summer due to anthropogenic activity, Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, [in Explaining Extreme Events of 2013 from a Climate Perspective]
  34. Lewis, S.C. and D.J. Karoly. (2014). The role of anthropogenic forcing in the record 2013 Australia-wide annual and spring temperatures, Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, [in Explaining Extreme Events of 2013 from a Climate Perspective]
  35. Lewis, S.C. and D.K. Karoly (2014) ‘Are estimates of anthropogenic and natural influences on Australia’s extreme 2010-2012 rainfall model-dependent?’  Climate Dynamics, doi: 10.1007/s00382-014-2283-5
  36. Lewis, S. C., A. N. LeGrande, M. Kelley, and G. A. Schmidt (2014), Comparison of hydrological expressions of forced ENSO-like conditions in simulations of the pre-industrial and mid-Holocene, Journal of Geophysical Researchdoi: 10.1002/2013JD020961
  37. Lewis, S. C., and D. J. Karoly (2013), Evaluation of Historical Diurnal Temperature Range Trends in CMIP5 Models, Journal of Climate, 26(22), 9077–9089, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00032.1.
  38. King, A. D., S. C. Lewis, S. E. Perkins, L. V. Alexander, M. G. Donat, D. J. Karoly, and M. T. Black (2013), Limited Evidence of Anthropogenic Influence on the 2011–12 Extreme Rainfall Over Southeast Australia, edited by T. C. Peterson, M. P. Hoerling, P. A. Stott, and S. C. Herring, Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 94(9), S55–S58.
  39. Lewis, S. C., and D. J. Karoly (2013), Anthropogenic contributions to Australia’s record summer temperatures of 2013, Geophysical Research Letters, doi:10.1002/grl.50673.
  40. Lewis, S. C., A. N. LeGrande, M. Kelley, and G. A. Schmidt (2013), Modeling insights into deuterium excess as an indicator of water vapor source conditions, Journal of Geophysical Research, doi:10.1029/2012JD017804.
  41. Tierney, J. E., S. C. Lewis, B. I. Cook, A. N. LeGrande, and G. A. Schmidt (2011), Model, proxy and isotopic perspectives on the East African Humid Period, Earth and Planetary Science Letters, 307(1-2), 103–112, doi:10.1016/j.epsl.2011.04.038.
  42. Lewis, S. C., M. K. Gagan, L. K. Ayliffe, J.-X. Zhao, W. S. Hantoro, P. C. Treble, J. C. Hellstrom, A. N. LeGrande, M. Kelley, and G. A. Schmidt (2011), High-resolution stalagmite reconstructions of Australian–Indonesian monsoon rainfall variability during Heinrich stadial 3 and Greenland interstadial 4, Earth and Planetary Science Letters, 303(1), 133–142. 
  43. Lewis, S. C., A. N. LeGrande, M. Kelley, and G. A. Schmidt (2010), Water vapour source impacts on oxygen isotope variability in tropical precipitation during Heinrich events, Climate of the Past, 6(3), 325–343, doi:10.5194/cp-6-325-2010.
  44. Kershaw, A. P., S. C. Bretherton*, and S. van der Kaars (2007), A complete pollen record of the last 230 ka from Lynch’s Crater, north-eastern Australia, Palaeogeography, Palaeoclimatology, Palaeoecology, 251(1), 23–45, doi:10.1016/j.palaeo.2007.02.015.


  1. Lewis, S.C. (2016). Understanding natural and anthropogenic influences on recent climate extremes in Australia: a review of studies using the Fraction of Attributable Risk approach. Bulletin of the Australian Meteorological and Oceanographic Society, 28 (6).
  2. Lewis, S.C. and D.J. Karoly (2014). Explaining the summer 2012/2013 and annual 2013 record warmth in Australia in World Meteorological Organisation Statement on the Status of Global Climate in 2013.

Other publications

  1. Lewis, S.C. (2017) ‘Extreme climate change: damage and responsibility’ in Australian Quarterly
  2. Lewis, S.C. and S.E. Perkins (2013). There are no time-travelling climatologists: why we use climate models. ECOS Magazine,186.

Published Data

  1. Australia Community Climate and Earth System Simulator (ACCESS1.3) contributions to Coupled Model Comparison Phase 5 (CMIP5) archived with Research Data Australia

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